Wednesday, 20 January 2010

Our chances

The boss puts them at 51% - he's probably right:
"It is not a big advantage, but it is an advantage," said Mancini.

"I am happy with the result because we were behind after 20 minutes and I felt it could be difficult.

"But we recovered, scored two goals and played well.

"They had three or four chances but, in Shay Given, we have one of the best goalkeepers.

"Now I would say we have a 51% chance."
Of course, we are more likely to go through now than we were 24 hours ago. But once it was clear that Ferguson was going to play a full-strength team the chances of our progressing from a two legged tie - with the first leg at home - were on the slim side of 50/50. Last night's win will have improved our chances, but a lot of likely results still send United through. All two goal margin wins and more, of course. Any one goal margin win of theirs will go to extra-time before being decided by away goals. I'd quite enjoy a repeat of the 4-3 this time round, actually, if it meant we progressed.

I'd love us to draw or win, naturally. But it's a big ask.

5 comments:

Eastlands = Heaven said...

So if they win 1-0 for instance does it go to extra time and then after 120mins they'd go through? I don't know how it works in the carling cup!

Matt said...

love the fact that kevin horlock is included in the wish list of players on this blog. great servant to the club, sweet left foot.

clevblue said...

I have to say I have worries about the space we gave them all through the game, and the amount of possession they had, we must close them down and tighten up for 2nd leg.
If we do and we get to the final, we have already won it

longwayfromhome said...

Do you not fancy a 1969 revisited 2-2 ?

jonny crossan said...

Good to see the 2-2 mentioned - the night of the greatest ever indirect free kick!